Once upon a time, I used to do historical research, mainly concerning
wars. My last job concerned the war in Afghanistan, and I found myself
relying on the authors and editors of the Rand Corporation for their
well-researched, boots on the ground approach. (A few of the Special
Forces guys I met commented that Rand was the holy grail of
post-service, big brain employment.)
Here’s a selection of the
Rand books that have come through my office lately. Libraries and
bookstores can’t go wrong with these mostly slender volumes. They are
indispensable for historians, journalists, academics, and policy makers.
In Their Own Words: Voices of Jihad (Rand,
978-0-8330-4402-0) carries the heavy endorsements of Bob Woodward,
Zbigniew Brzezinski, and John Esposito on the back cover. Compiled by
Rand’s director of Middle East Public Policy, David Aaron, the book
provides a wide variety of views, stories, and justifications by
individuals who promote terrorism in the name of Islam. “We have not
attempted to present a balanced collection of Muslim views in this
book,” Aaron writes in the Note on Sources. “Because the book comprises
original jihadi writings, the issue of balance is not germane, except
as it pertains to conflicting jihadi views.” While terrorism may have
always been a tactic of warfare, seldom have its authors been so well
documented.
Iran’s Political, Demographic, and Economic Vulnerabilities (Rand,
978-0-8330-4304-7) by Keith Crane, Rollie Lal, and Jeffrey Martini is
the typical under-200-pages size of most of Rand’s monographs. Here,
the work was sponsored by the Air Force and carried out in 2005. It
covers political, ethnic, and demographic issues, and predicts economic
trajectories of growth. Clear and to-the-point, the book finishes with
a set of policy recommendations that include discouraging ethnic groups
from violently opposing the regime and encouraging the development of
markets as the buying power of the electorate translates into less
control by the regime. It also recommends that the US not oppose Iran’s
accession to the WTO.

Counterinsurgency in Afghanistan (Rand,
978-0-8330-4133-3). Author Seth Jones writes in the summary, “This
study’s assessment of 90 insurgencies indicates that it takes an
average of 14 years to defeat insurgents once an insurgency develops.”
What are the major factors that allow an insurgency to develop and
stick? Native lawlessness and a foreign safe haven for resting and
resupply. The mujahadeen hid from the Soviets in Pakistan, now Pakistan
also protects the Taliban. Jones, who has made repeated trips to
Afghanistan, Pakistan, and India since 2004, stresses the importance of
involving local populations in counterinsurgency operations. The
history and strategies in this book are important for understanding the
nature of unconventional warfare, no matter where in the world it is.